Saturday, 17 December 2011

Heineken Cup - 17th December 2011


Aironi (6) v Ulster (1/7)

With qualification on the line, Ulster will be motivated for a big win here and can give up at 12 point handicap. Narrow defeats on the road against Glasgow and Leicester aren’t anything to be ashamed of and with a 22 point win over their Italian opponents at home to their name, a similar margin is possible today.

Advice: 2 pts Ulster -12 (10/11 general)

Leicester (8/15) v Clermont (15/8)

The home record of these teams – Leicester are unbeaten in 17 home games in Europe and Clermont have won only two of their 10 away days on the continent – is the main reason behind Leicester’s status as favourites. If that’s correct, the hosts can lead at half and full time.

Advice: 1 pt Leicester/Leicester (11/10 bwin)

London Irish (2/7) v Racing Metro (7/2)

London Irish had 20 points in hand when they played Racing Metro in France and at home, a 12 point handicap is a realistic aim. There’s lots of motivation for Irish, who should be able to count on good home support to get the result they need.

Advice: 2 pts London Irish -8 (evs Hills)

Gloucester (1/10) v Connaught (10)

Gloucester had only 4 points in hand when scraping away with a win in Galway, so handicaps of 16 points can’t really be seriously entertained – in their favour at least. While Coonaught could be blown out of the water, the suspicion, is that they’re going to be able to put up a good fight at the least there.  

Advice: 1 pt Connaught +16 (10/11 general)

Montpellier (4/9) v Glasgow (13/5)

Glasgow should put up a stiff resistance to Montpellier in a bid to any hope of overhauling defending champions Leinster at the top of the pool, but the return of captain Fulgence Ouedraogo, Georgian powerhouse Mamuka Gorgodze and  fly-half Francois Trinh-Duc could well be enough to swing things in the reverse direction.

Advice: 1 pt Montpellier to win by 1-12 (13/8 Stan James)

Leinster (1/10) v Bath (10)

Leinster were back to their typical selves last weekend when Ireland fly-half Jonathan Sexton kicked six penalties - three during a 15-minute spell in the second period – and they should be able to get much more points on the board this weekend. They are capable of covering a 15 point handicap but might also be able to score 30 or more points.

Advice:  1 pt Leinster to score 30 or more (5/6 general) 

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