Friday, 16 December 2011

Heineken Cup - 16th December 2011


Biarritz (1/7) v Treviso (7)

Enthusiasm about getting involved with the home side is massively tempered by the fact that just a week ago Biarritz were turned over in Italy, and the forecast tonight suggests gale force winds and heavy rain, which hardly lends itself to wide margin wins. A small margin home win could be the best choice but a handicap of 14 points should prove pretty hard to pass.

Advice: 2 pts Treviso +14 (10/11 general)

Edinbrugh (4/3) v Cardiff (4/5)

Edinbrugh, so much harder to beat at Murrayfield than anywhere else, will be massively boosted by their remarkable win against Racing Metro here. Cardiff have already gone to Racing Metro and won though, so a trip like this will hold no fears and they might be able to edge a tight effai.

Advice: 1 pt Cardiff to win by 1-12 points (7/4 Stan James)

Ospreys (4/6) v Saracens (13/8)

Home advantage seems to be deciding the prices here but that’s not surprising given that they’re unbeaten at home in the strong looking PRO12 this season. Ospreys definitely seem to be a second half side, so how about the Saracens/Ospreys double result at 7/1? It’s not impossible that the English Champions will go for the kill early – they can put one foot in the knockout rounds with a win tonight – and Ospreys looked down and out before grabbing a losing bonus point in London last weekend.  For cover, back Ospreys to make 12 or more points during the second half, as their strong showings this season suggest they will score more after the break.

Advice: 1 pt Saracens/Ospreys (7/1 Sportingbet), 2 pts Ospreys to score more than 12 second half points (11/10 Ladbrokes) 

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