While England and India fight over the ODI Series, Sri Lanka
and Australia are the two biggest test nations playing catch up and the visitors are
worth backing to take their second successive test and land a series for the
first time since their tour of New Zealand in March 2010.
The first test was dominated by the pitch produced in Kandy
to suit Sri Lankan spinners which backfired to the point that the pitch was
officially rated "poor" by the ICC match referee Chris Broad and only
gave Australia's debutant offspinner Nathan Lyon licence to go through the Sri
Lankans in the first innings.
Australia’s record over Sri Lanka now stands at 14-1 in favour
of the visitors with matches won (6 draws) and while things should be closer
here Michael Clarke’s bullishness about his side’s capability to bat either
first or second should not go unnoticed.
The conditions in Galle makes Australia’s first innings
effort of 273 all the more creditable especially when you see how badly the Sri
Lankans faltered, and the newly built Pallekele stadium should be easier for
batting on – Plenty of runs were scored at the World Cup there and in the
rained off test between Sri Lanka and the West Indies the visitors made 303.
It’s easy to anticipate Sri Lanka’s batting line improving –
They went from 105 to 253 in the next Innings and an improved performance from
Captain Tillakaratne Dislhan should also added to that – But the Aussies look
value to gain a first innings lead here.
Their batting was a feature of the One Day Series win and they’ve
made more in an innings than their hosts on 5 occasions out of 7 on this tour
while Sri Lanka were outscored 4 times in two tests against England so the evens
available about a first innings lead should be taken.
Advice
1 pt Australia (2/1 general)
2 pts Australia 1st Innings Lead (evs Totesport)
You know September’s coming when rain arrives and it ruined a very good looking encounter between England and India with the hosts having looked shaky in their 7.2 over spell, on the ropes at 27 for 2, chasing 275, many will be watching a youthful side with close eyes today.
The main problem today is likely to be rain again however –
7.8mm is set for today, namely in the afternoon – And that doesn’t make the result
for either teams appealing, although in – play could offer some belting options.
Eoin Morgan and Ian Bell should enjoy a flatter batting
wicket, which will help, and the former has never scored below 43 in 3 appearances
here – While the return of Grame Swann’s sure to help if he can get turn to
match the inevitable bounce.
As far as today’s action is concerned, Praveen Kumar might
hold the key to the match. A spell with delivered 20 dot-balls and two key
wickets had many doubting England’s batsmen and with plenty of cloud cover he
seems set to do the same again here, and is a good price at 11/4 to be the top
Indian wicket taker today.
If he can remove Craig Kieswetter early on then that might
allow Virat Kohil, who has already got 5 ODI Centuries and got 55 in the First
ODI, to outscore him. He seems fine with English conditions, having scored 71
and 78 in the two warm up matches, and while today he should be tested more by
England’s bowling – Too many short balls were offered at Old Trafford – There’s
a feeling that he may be able to negate the increased threat and get a total
into the mid 40’s.
Advice
2 pts Virat Kohli to Outscore Craig Kieswetter (10/11 Blue
Sq)
1 pt Praveen Kumar top India wicket – taker (11/4 general)
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