After another thrilling weekend, which didn’t bring the
Sunday success I’d hoped – Apologies if you missed the advice on Saturday,
although I was clear on twitter – we move onto what should be a more docile
game when Wales send Namibia home after just 17 days in the tournament.
This match for Wales is about avoiding injury - Dan Lydiate and James Hook are among just two
names causing the Welsh concerns, while Shane Williams has a worrying thigh
strain which some feel could rule him out of the tournament.
Predictably, Warren Gatland has made a record amount of
changes for his side at a World Cup, with 11 players coming into the XV that
beat Samoa 17-10 – With only Sam Warburton, Alyn Wyn Jones, Toby Faletau and Jonathan
Davies being replaced.
That should still be good enough for them to put a large amount
of tries past Nambia, who have let in 185 so far, including 87 against South
Africa, and a 58 point handicap is fair based on previous evidence, given South
Africa were able to cover it with ease and not much rests between the two on
the only evidence we have – Indeed many will still resent the fact Wales didn’t
win the game against South Africa – although much of it results on how fast
Galtand’s changed 11 gets out of the blocks here.
The bet could be to back Wales with a view to the second
half handicap. 31 points is fairly hefty but Wales do have an impressive second
half record, having won their last 5 on the bounce, while Namibia in the
fashion of many minnows, tend to see fitness and professionalism count more in
the last 40.
Advice
3 pts Wales -29.5 on 2nd half handicap (4/5
Bet365)
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