Wednesday, 14 September 2011

Rugby World Cup 2011 - Russia v USA


The underdogs rise continues at this World Cup with Canada the latest team to spring an upset against Tonga thanks to some awful ball handling and 2 easy missed penalties from Kurt Morath, albeit a deserved one, and it’s now the turn of Russia to step onto the world’s biggest Rugby stage against the USA.

The most impressive thing about Russia’s rise to the world cup is that there are only 5 players in the squad who do not play in Russia; The rest are all home based, which is a tremendous achievement given the use of the Guinness Premiership and Top 14 for other nations.

USA's Taku Ngwenya races awayMelbourne Rebels lock Adam Byrnes, Northampton Saints wing Vasily Artemyev, Sale Sharks lock Andrey Ostrikov, Viatcheslav Grachev (France), and Konstantin Rachkov of Stade PhocĂ©en in Marseille all give quality to the Russian charge, but they’ve got work to do on this stage against a USA side which gave Ireland a few problems despite being demolished by the scrum regularly on Saturday.

Russia’s last competitive encounter was against the Americans in the Churchill Cup when they lost 32-25 and 13 of the starting XV will take the Eagles on again, so the formguide looks fairly solid while treated with caution.

While the Bears should be able to put up a good fight with some solid but technical play, the USA’s pace when asked could be the undoing of their chances. dangerous wingers Takudzwa Ngwenya (above left) and James Paterson are joined by Saracens utility back Chris Wyles, which makes the US more of a threat.

I can’t have them at 6 points on the handicap – Indeed with wind in the air and possible showers I’d be going under on the points at 42.5 (3 put of the last 5 USA matches under and both teams likely to keep it tight with an emphasis on results) but I see better value in the USA to win by 1-12 points, which has been the outcome in 4 of their last 5 successes.

Advice: 2 pts USA to win by 1-12 points (15/8 Ladbrokes) 

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