One of the most intriguing 6 Nations in years starts with what should be a routine victory for France over Italy in Paris, despite the one point win for the Azzuri last year in Rome. During those crazy days of Marc Lievremont madness, there was no telling what team would turn up and having lost to England previously – Their first defeat in eight games – probably took the urgency out of proceedings.
Both teams had contrasting World Cups; Despite losing three times France made the final and lost by just one point, while Italy went out at the group stages after being unable to cope with Australia and Ireland. The Azzuri since have changed Nick Malett for Jacques Brunel in the hope of improving into realistic contenders and playing more expansive rugby, and we should learn a lot about both teams here given the new coaches and slight changes in personnel.
Saint Andre may well look towards pragmatic forward power more than flowing movement from his talented backline, while Brunel has promised more expansion. After a string of consistent performances for Toulouse Louis Picamoles has kept Imanol Harinordoquy out of the side, while no one has beaten more defenders in the Top 14, or scored more tries, than centre Wesley Fofana, who will get to link up with his centre Rougerie on his International debut.
While we all know about the senior Italy forwards, new wingers in the team have been added and it will be fascinating to see if they can break down the side that conceded just 16 points in the semi and World Cup final – they scored 20 points the last time they were here in defeat.
With only a week to prepare properly Les Bleus might not be at top form and it’s worth remembering that France have covered only four of the last 20 handicap lines given to them in the 6 Nations, and for that matter Italy +20 gets the vote. France to win by 11-20 should also have it’s merits at a fairly large 13-5 if a tight game materialises.
Advice
2 pts Italy +21 (Bet Victor)
No comments:
Post a Comment