Tuesday, 19 June 2012

Euro 2012 - England v Ukraine


England can book a quarter final with either Italy or Spain by winning their final Group game against Hosts Ukraine tonight and they should be backed hard to do so, despite their price collapsing to 11/10 with Stan James.  With several internal problems beforehand – the resignation of Fabio Capello and then ensuing drama over his replacement being just one of those – expectation’s been at its lowest ebb but they’ve made a more than fair start towards life in the tournament and they should be confident of making at least the quarter finals tonight in style.

An opening game against France was one approached with some trepidation but they took the lead and then defended well to keep Les Bleus at bay in a second half which saw them dominate the game, ending up with 65% possession – a good start considering how short Blanc’s men are for the trophy.

Theo Walcott and Andy Carroll celebrateTheir next game against Sweden was widely expected to be an England win and it proved so, but the most notable thing about that victory was the spirit and coolness they showed when going 2-1 down against Sweden, going onto the front foot and getting straight back into the game through the substitution of Theo Walcott, who provided a goal and an assist to turn the game around in superb style. The defensive lapses which saw them go 2-1 down have to be a worry for a side that had become so accustomed to winning 1-0 and close games right out under Hodgson, but on another note it was good to see that the side has got a genuine goal threat going forward. Steven Gerrard had a poor club season but he’s been England’s biggest threat from out wide and already has two assists to his name, while Danny Wellbeck’s pace and movement upfront has been a ringing endorsement of his selection upfront. In many ways it’s shame that Andy Caroll’, so badly criticised by many throughought the season but impressive against Sweden, is likely to be ousted for the returning Wayne Rooney, as his physical presence would have been more than likely to give Ukraine a whole heap of trouble. Rooney’s the better player for many people but his tournament record isn’t great and while he’s trouble to deal with on his day, the relationship between the two established strikers had looked good.  Rooney should be more than well-equipped enough to deal with Ukraine’s centre backs and this seems to be an ideal opportunity to get back into the scoring fold, while Ashley Young should also feel invited to get forward and improve upon what he’s shown so far.  

Ukraine looked to have a great chance with a fairytale victory over Sweden but that’s since been shown up as a rather less impressive win than many thought with the Swedish being exposed by England, and they were utterly outclassed by France last time out, who should have scored more than the 2 they got on board. England will be just as hard to play for them and the hosts could be going out with a whimper tonight, with the 2-0 correct score appealing in Andriy Shevchnko’s absence.

Advice

4 pts England (21/20 Paddy Power)

1 pt England 2-0 (9/1 Bet Victor)

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