Heineken Cup - 21st January 2012

Bath (1/2) v Glasgow (9/4)

Bath are yet to win on English soil but have been decent on the road this year and beat the hosts 26-21 at Firhill last Novemeber. The messages coming from the club are positive in terms of a good showing and they can cover a 7 point handicap.

Advice: 1 pt Glasgow +7 (10/11)

Leinster (1/8) v Montpellier (11)

A handicap of 15 points looks a big ask for Leinster if Montpellier’s best players (the likes of Francois Trinh-Duc, Lucas Amorosino, Fulgence Ouedraogo & Mamuka Gorgodze) turn up, but with home advantage and the prospect of a home quarter final at stake, the home side should have enough to win. Back Leinster by 1-12.

Advice: 1 pt Leinster by 1-12 (2/1 Stan James)

Clermont (1/5) v Ulster (5)

Clermont are currently 38 games unbeaten at home but couldn’t have asked for a much tougher task to win the pool against Ulster, who were incredible against Leicester. The home win should happen according to the markets, but a start of 11 points is really big for the away side on all evidence.

Advice: 3 pts Ulster +12 (10/11 Paddy Power, Boylesports)

Leicester (1/100) v Aironi (33)

Leicester need to score as many tries as possible to and hope the results go their way if they want to make the Challenge Cup, so expect no mercy against Aironi, who have conceded 241 points this season. It’s hard to judge the handicap quite right but a small wager on the hosts beating their opponents by 28 points or more may be the best bet.

Advice: 1 pt Leicester -27 (10/11 Coral)

Castres (2/5) v Scarlets (5/2)

Castres were well beaten when they travelled to Wales but will feel optimistic about turning things around at home – they beat last season's finalists Northampton on their own patch – and while a handicap of 7 points doesn’t look like terrific value, the hosts should be able to win.

Advice: 1 pt Castres to win by 1-12 points (7/4 Ladbrokes)

Northampton (8/15) v Munster (85/40)

Not a lot separates Northampton and Munster so there’s no good reason for the home side to be as short as they are. Munster have been good on the road this season and can make a serious game of things with a 6 point start here in their endeavour for home advantage in the knockout stages.

Advice: 2 pts Munster +6 (10/11 Bet Victor)