India are popular choices to use home advantage to get their
first win in 7 matches when taking on England, who have many strong stats against
them as they aim to rise up the ODI Rankings as well as cementing their No.1
test spot, gained by their 4-0 romp over India .
That was followed by a 3-0 ODI win (as well as a T20
victory) but it was a series of finer margins than that indicated and the gap
should be closer here thanks to the flat, hard pitches that require massive
batting efforts.
It’s funny that the market seemingly doubts England’s ability
to do this – The core of their runscoring talent form the test and ODI series remains
with Ian Bell, Alistair Cook and Jonathan Trott. Cook might not be a natural
fit for ODI’s but Bell made 245 runs in the World Cup (69 of them against India
in that tied game, which is discussed below) while Trott had 422 in total.
More doubts arise over Kevin Pietersen, who has struggled for
form in this sphere - in the last three years he has managed just 911 runs at
26.79 in 37 one-day internationals, while Eoin Morgan is a big miss for
England's batting in terms of quickfire runs.
This is a fascinating opportunity for Chris Woakes, Jade
Dernbach and Steven Finn to come to the fore although this is a fierce test for
some players that could be green on the International stage and it’s vital that
they follow in the footsteps of , Jonny Bairstow and Scott Borthwick, who shone
in the final warm-up match before the ODIs begin on Friday.
Over the past 12 months won 18 of their 30 one-dayers and at
home over the past two years, they have won 19 of their 28 ODI’s, which does
make the 4.5 on a home win look fair value given the tonkings England got when
coming here last time.
It should be remembered that their last encounter here was a
tie with India having been in control though, and this team is worth leaving
alone for one game to show that they’re back to form before then going in on
them, and a far more solid bet would be to back their opening partnerships to
make more than 26 runs, which seems very fair given that they passed that mark
4 out of 5 times during the series in England.
Advice
3 pts Indian Opening Partnership to make 26 or more runs
(5/6 Paddy Power)
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